Premier League

Mykhailo Mudryk: Why the ‘Ukrainian Neymar’ is so deadly

Neel Shelat
Mykhalo Mudryk Shakhtar Donetsk 2022-23

In a dark time for Ukrainian football, Shakhtar Donetsk star Mykhailo Mudryk has been a shining light and may soon be making his way to the Premier League, with interest coming from Arsenal and Chelsea.

Like all things in the country, football in the country has been greatly affected by the Russian invasion. In spite of that, the Premier League, as well as Women’s Premier League and some lower divisions, have been in action for the 2022/23 season, with empty stadiums and occasional air raid siren interruptions.

One of the major issues most clubs are facing is financial, which is unsurprising given how many of their major revenue streams have been blocked or severely cut down. In such tough times, many feel they have not been helped by FIFA, who allowed foreign players to temporarily suspend their contracts and leave the country at the start of the invasion.

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This led to many players, especially those from the bigger Ukrainian clubs, leaving for very cheap transfer fees as their teams were pressured to sell with the risk of losing them for free when their contracts expired. Shakhtar Donetsk suffered the biggest losses as a result of this, and are now taking FIFA to CAS on this matter.

The silver lining for Shakhtar is the fact that they have had to field line-ups made up almost exclusively of Ukrainian players, many of whom are young academy graduates. Among them is 21-year-old left winger Mykhailo Mudryk, who captured all of Europe’s attention with his dazzling performances in the Champions League.

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He is now being linked with a move to the Premier League, with Arsenal and Chelsea the leading suitors. Publicly, Shakhtar are demanding a nine-digit transfer fee for him, but reports are suggesting that they would be willing to lower their asking price and accept an offer they deem good enough.

One thing is certain, though, if Mudryk leaves Shakhtar in 2023 (and he almost certainly will), his departure should break the record transfer fee paid to a Ukrainian Premier League club. So, let us take a closer look at the player being nicknamed the ‘Ukrainian Neymar’.

Role and return this season

This season, Mudryk has mostly been used as a left winger in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation. He has a good deal of positional freedom. He tends to stay wide and close to the touchline when his team has the ball, but does drift infield at times and move into the halfspaces, especially with the ball at his feet. His heatmap from the last five games shows this.

Mudryk heatmap

Mudryk heatmap

It is safe to say that he has been the best winger in the Ukrainian Premier League by some margin, as the model from data analytics experts SciSports’ suggests:

+ Mykhaylo Mudryk
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Unsurprisingly, his statistics look impressive when compared to fellow wingers in the league. Whether you’re looking for goalscoring, chance creation or dribbling, Mudryk excels at it all.

Mudryk stats

Mudryk stats

A return of seven goals and six assists in 11 league matches is impressive, but it is important to remember that the Ukrainian Premier League is a markedly lower level than the Premier League. Mudryk did also play in a much tougher competition in his side’s 6 Champions League group games, and came away with 3 goals and 2 assists, leading the way in his team in terms of goal involvements.

Of course, the sample size is small, but nonetheless, it is worth taking a look at some of the numbers Mudryk put up in Europe. He averaged a decent 1.57 shots per 90, a fairly high xA per 90 tally of 0.19, and crucially, 5.16 take-ons per 90. His success rate did drop to just over 30%, but it is heartening to see that he was not shy of trying to get past better defenders.

Dribbling and direct threat

The least you would expect from someone who is likened to Neymar is exciting dribbling ability, and Mudryk certainly has that in abundance. The stats paint a picture of how he likes to try and get past opponents very frequently, but they cannot show you how he does that.

That clip sums up Mudryk’s dribbling – he has silky ball control in close spaces and can wriggle out of them, but he really gets going when he has open grass to run into with some rapid ball carrying.

Even at such breakneck speeds, Mudryk remains well in control of the ball and get trick his way past any defenders standing in his path. Stepovers are one of his favourite skills, and he deploys them often in the final third. What makes them extra effective is the fact that the Ukraine international can go both ways. He is predominantly right-footed, but it would not be right to call his left foot ‘weak’ in any way.

Myhailo Mudryk 3

As aforementioned, Mudryk likes to hug the touchline so he regularly receives the ball in such areas of the pitch. Here, he likes to use his close control to poke the ball past the defender and chase after it, often after inviting a challenge.

Mykhailo Mudryk 4

Clearly, the 21-year-old winger is a real danger to opposition defences with the ball at his feet, but they cannot afford to rest when he does not have it either. We previously referenced his lightning-quick pace, which, in combination with his racecar-like acceleration, make him a real threat in behind.

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In fact, Mudryk recorded the highest speed in the Champions League this season at 36.6 km/h. That is quicker than anyone has managed in the Premier League.

His pace is a cheat code for his dribbling ability. As we previously saw, he likes to dazzle defenders with tricks like stepovers and get past them, but his speed is such that even if a defender manages to follow him, he still cannot be stopped.

Mykhailo Mudryk 5

Being quick is one thing, but being able to fully use your speed to your advantage is another. That requires good off-ball movement, which is another one of Mudryk’s strengths. His top speed means that he does not need to always play on the shoulder of the defender, so he has only been caught offside once every five games on average in the Ukrainian league this season. Instead, he starts a little deeper and uses his acceleration to burst past his man.

There are two types of runs he predominantly makes. The first is more of a straight run in the halfspace that asks his team-mate to play the ball in behind through the defensive line, usually when he is on the far side of the pitch.

When attacking the space in behind on the near side, he usually makes an out-to-in run around the defender to get on the end of the through pass, which is delivered to a similar region.

As the last couple of clips showed, Mudryk is composed in the final third as far as his decision-making is concerned. This, coupled with his unpredictability (since he can strike with both feet), make him a deadly goal threat and incredibly tough to defend against.

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Being a right-footed left winger, he can of course cut inside and get shots away. His ball-striking ability with his right foot is very good, so opponents would not want him doing that.

Coming from the left wing, when he chooses to go outside, Mudryk naturally makes the angle tighter for himself. However, his finishing on his left foot is fairly clinical too. Here is a video showing that, featuring some slick dribbling and very fast ball carrying.

His shotmap sums all of this up, showing a good number of shots taken from range, a fair few going in from central areas just outside the box, and another cluster on the left of the penalty area.

Mykhailo Mudryk 6

Potential fit at Arsenal

Arsenal are the frontrunners for Mudryk’s signature if he is to leave Shakhtar Donetsk this January, so let us briefly explore how he would fit in Mikel Arteta’s system.

The Spanish tactician sets his side up to play in a 2-3-5 system in possession, with both wingers staying high and wide. So, Mudryk would certainly slot right into the left winger spot if required, but the current first choice there is Gabriel Martinelli.

Arsenal do lack squad depth in that position, so Mudryk does not necessarily need to compete with Martinelli given the tight upcoming fixture schedule. But, the Brazilian winger’s position could be under threat if the 21-year-old Ukrainian can maintain the explosiveness, unpredictability and end product he has shown in the Ukrainian Premier League (and briefly in the Champions League) this season.

Of course, the big question mark is whether he can do that. Currently, Ukraine is ranked 12th in Europe based on UEFA’s country coefficients, which take into account five years. As we discussed at the start, Ukraine’s league lost a number of key players last summer, so its level certainly has dropped by some extent this season.

Therefore, it is tough to estimate how big a step up Mudryk will have to make in order to star in the Premier League, but there can be no doubts about the fact that he has the potential to do so.

Ultimately, the decision of Arsenal and Chelsea boils down to whether Mudryk’s potential is worth taking a risk on because they are surely going to have to overpay for him to an extent.

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